Making Trump happy! Can the wealthy sheikhs of the Middle East really come up with "trillions" so easily?
There is a significant gap between the economic and fiscal capabilities of the Gulf countries and these huge numbers they have committed to; Saudi Arabia's GDP is just slightly above one trillion dollars, and Qatar's GDP is only a little over two hundred billion dollars, while fluctuations in oil prices may further threaten the realization of these commitments.
Trump's slip of the tongue caused a false alarm: how do 160 Boeing passenger planes amount to 200 billion dollars?
① The President of the USA, Trump, visited Qatar on Wednesday and witnessed Boeing signing a massive aircraft procurement agreement with Qatar Airways; ② Trump attempted to flaunt the value of the large Order at the signing ceremony, but got the specific figures wrong; ③ On Wednesday, an economic agreement worth a total of 243.5 billion USD was announced between the USA and Qatar. The leaders of both countries also signed an agreement aimed at facilitating 'at least 1.2 trillion USD in economic exchanges.'
The brief "springtime" for the dollar cannot withstand the long "bearish path"! Hedge funds warn that tariff policies will trigger a wave of dollar selling.
The founder of Exante Data believes that the recent rebound of the dollar is just a fleeting moment, and the long-lasting "dollar bear market" has only just begun, mainly due to a series of chaotic tariff policies aimed at Global trade introduced by the Trump administration to reshape the USA economy and trade.
Trump Says He May Talk to China's Xi at the End of the Week
Dollar Rises, Yuan Strengthens as U.S.-China Reach Trade Deal
U.S. Suspends Bulk of Tariffs on Chinese Goods
Joint Statement on U.S.-China Economic and Trade Meeting in Geneva
A major reversal in expectations for the bond market! Options Trading traders are increasing bets on the possibility that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at all this year.
Options traders are aggressively establishing hedge positions to guard against the risk that the Federal Reserve may not ease MMF this year, with one increasingly growing position predicting that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in 2025.
Evercore ISI: The bear market in the U.S. stock market has ended, and a "marathon-style" bull market is expected under the shadow of tariffs.
The investment bank Evercore ISI pointed out that the latest market rebound marks the end of the bear market in 2025, but unlike in the past, this bull market will not accompany sharp rises, but will instead show a slow and volatile advance.
Federal Reserve's Barr warns: tariffs raise inflation and slow down the economy, the Federal Reserve may find itself in a dilemma.
1. Federal Reserve Board member Michael Barr warned that the trade policies of the Trump administration could raise inflation, slow economic growth, and increase unemployment, posing challenges for policymakers; 2. Barr believes that tariffs may disrupt global supply chains, creating sustained upward pressure on inflation and potentially exacerbating supply chain chaos.
The "dollar hegemony" shows cracks in Asia: "de-dollarization" is accelerating and the renminbi is being embraced!
① With last month's unpredictable tariff policies by Trump triggering a wave of asset sell-offs in the USA, a fresh wave of "de-dollarization" is taking root in Asia... ② Multiple signs indicate that the demand for currency derivatives that bypass the dollar is rising among banks and brokers in the Asia region, as trade tensions have added urgency to the shift towards de-dollarization that has been happening for many years.
Trump Announces Trade Deal With UK
Trump wants to amend AI Chip export controls? The U.S. Department of Commerce: Simplifying the 'Biden rules' is beneficial for innovation!
① A spokesperson for the USA Department of Commerce stated that President Trump plans to lift the restrictions on the export of advanced AI Chips instituted during the Biden administration, claiming that Biden's rules are overly complex and will hinder innovation in the USA; ② In January of this year, Biden released the "AI Diffusion Export Control Framework," establishing a "three-tier licensing system" for AI Chips, which limits the amount of advanced AI Chips accessible to various countries and regions.
The largest stock buyback frenzy in history has arrived! In the midst of uncertainty, companies choose to "buy the dip" on themselves.
According to Deutsche Bank, S&P 500 Index constituent companies are expected to buy back $192 billion worth of Stocks in the coming months, the highest single-week record since 1995. Under the shadow of uncertainties such as trade tariffs, companies prefer to deploy large Cash reserves through buybacks.
FOMC Preview: When Will Powell Turn Dovish Amid Tariff Tensions?
Despite the tariff disputes, should one still stick to U.S. stocks? Morgan Stanley provides five major investment recommendations.
① Should one choose Large Cap stocks or Small Cap stocks? Should one choose industrial stocks or Consumer stocks? Should one still remain committed to U.S. stocks? ② Morgan Stanley U.S. stock strategist Wilson offers five investment recommendations to investors to address Global trade risks.
After Buffett "hands over the baton", Berkshire has made substantial bottom-fishing purchases, while retail investors gamble on the enduring faith in the "stock god".
On Monday, retail investors invested more than 24 million dollars in Berkshire Hathaway Class B Stocks.
China Lowers Rates and Makes Bank Lending Easier in Response to Tariffs
Goldman Sachs outlook for the May Federal Reserve meeting: the threshold for interest rate cuts is higher than in 2019, and it is necessary to wait for employment and other hard data to weaken.
Analysts including Jan Hatzius from Goldman Sachs have stated that inflation and inflation expectations based on surveys are currently much higher, and decision-makers need to see more compelling evidence of an economic slowdown before taking action. The strongest argument for interest rate cuts would be if Federal Reserve officials believe that data indicates the unemployment rate may continue to rise, which means that other signs such as rising unemployment, weak wage growth, and companies becoming cautious or weak demand growth need to be observed.
China Central Bank Cuts Rates to Boost Economy Amid Tariff Threat