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U.S. stock market outlook | All three Equity Index futures are up, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision is imminent.
On May 7th (Wednesday), in Pre-Market Trading, the three major U.S. equity index futures all rose.
What caused the rapid reversal of the latest sell-off in the USA? Deutsche Bank: The main reasons are policy easing and the economy not entering recession.
Deutsche Bank stated that this round of market reversal is mainly attributed to three points: macroeconomic data shows that the USA economy has not fallen into recession; the decline in oil prices has alleviated inflationary pressures, providing room for potential interest rate cuts. Finally, the policies of the USA government have softened, and the tendency for trade protectionism has weakened.
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U.S. stock valuations have reached warning levels again! The market is treading carefully before the Federal Reserve's decision.
The recent rebound in the stock market has caused valuation levels to rise again, and with the Federal Reserve about to announce its MMF policy decision, the market cannot afford any mistakes.
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The largest stock buyback frenzy in history has arrived! In the midst of uncertainty, companies choose to "buy the dip" on themselves.
According to Deutsche Bank, S&P 500 Index constituent companies are expected to buy back $192 billion worth of Stocks in the coming months, the highest single-week record since 1995. Under the shadow of uncertainties such as trade tariffs, companies prefer to deploy large Cash reserves through buybacks.
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Countdown to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, Goldman Sachs expects there will be three more rate cuts this year.
Goldman Sachs predicts that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates three times in the coming months, specifically in July, September, and October, for a total reduction of 75 basis points.
Despite the tariff disputes, should one still stick to U.S. stocks? Morgan Stanley provides five major investment recommendations.
① Should one choose Large Cap stocks or Small Cap stocks? Should one choose industrial stocks or Consumer stocks? Should one still remain committed to U.S. stocks? ② Morgan Stanley U.S. stock strategist Wilson offers five investment recommendations to investors to address Global trade risks.
After Buffett "hands over the baton", Berkshire has made substantial bottom-fishing purchases, while retail investors gamble on the enduring faith in the "stock god".
On Monday, retail investors invested more than 24 million dollars in Berkshire Hathaway Class B Stocks.
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Goldman Sachs outlook for the May Federal Reserve meeting: the threshold for interest rate cuts is higher than in 2019, and it is necessary to wait for employment and other hard data to weaken.
Analysts including Jan Hatzius from Goldman Sachs have stated that inflation and inflation expectations based on surveys are currently much higher, and decision-makers need to see more compelling evidence of an economic slowdown before taking action. The strongest argument for interest rate cuts would be if Federal Reserve officials believe that data indicates the unemployment rate may continue to rise, which means that other signs such as rising unemployment, weak wage growth, and companies becoming cautious or weak demand growth need to be observed.
Is the "darkest hour" not yet over? Legendary investors: U.S. stocks may soon fall to new lows!
① The legendary American investor Paul Tudor Jones believes that although the US stock market has rebounded significantly from the sell-off in April, it may still head towards new lows; ② He pointed out that trade fluctuations and high interest rates put tremendous pressure on the market, and unless the stock market experiences a significant drop again, these factors are unlikely to ease.