Tonyco
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rates stagnant. recession will hit full on mid summer, once the full effects of this garbage are apparent to the short-sighted. inflation increase dramatically, layoffs, loan defaults will cause death spiral for consumers, while interest rates will remain unchanged, ineffective Republican government will lead to shutdown and possibly default and credit downgrade Beginnings of depression by year end. Next year, bank failures will accelerate as dollar loses value, deregulation lead to risky loans increasing defaults, and mortgages and other big loans default meanwhile, businesses continue to go insolvent, inflation stays high with unemployment, prolonging the misery. end of next year US senate and congress will swap majorities (assuming orange mussolini doesn't attempt martial law takeover before then), beginning of 2027 may see some hope of recovery. We'll see.
J L 7 2
:
Today's fraudulent society is very skilled at using false information to make money; waiting for Stocks to rise or fall legitimately is too slow.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ so the result is out! April is flat! back to where it started. 95% of the people didn't see it coming, did you, neither did I lol. Month of May will be another exciting month 😉
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$yall, we need to absolutely be paying attention to american politics right now. all im going to say is, ill be trading both sides of the market, but im completely bearish for the next like 6months.
so Korean news caught CCP secretly sent 3 trade delegates to White House, while CCP says they are not bowing, if you understand CCP, the stronger they push out propaganda, means the more desperate that they are, they are unable to play it cool under financial pressures. and Trump said CCP talked and Xi called him, and Trump also say he won't drop the tariff unless CCP gives something, like "free up China", what that means is allow Facebook, Twitter, YouTube into China to ...
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yeebibi
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too naive. of cuz china is facing huge pressure, but US is facing a lot more pressure. China can digest internally although still have negative impact, US can dun rely on overseas products?
SKYWalkers
OPyeebibi
:
you can say I am wrong in my analysis, but it is naive for you to say I am naive, because from what you have just written, I can tell you, I know more than you about what is happening, the geopolitical undercurrents, the big picture of how the world is moving, so you shouldn't say I am naive, because you would be even more naive than me, that would be just the facts. so it remains to be seen what happens because this is a Cultural/Ideology War within the Framework of Cold War 2.0, which side is gonna break first, is it the Constitutional Republic Democracy that will have its people express their anger by voting out Republicans in the coming midterms, or the Communist Dictatorship that will have its farmers pickup axes and shovels and revolt against the governance, it's a chicken game, that remains to be seen.
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$With what I'm seeing, ~565-570 on SPY and ~485-490 on QQQ look like the next supply zones. Until proven otherwise, the symmetrical triangles I shared over the past few weeks are in play, which would explain the seemingly irrational bullishness. IF they are, SPY and QQQ are only about halfway to target. SPY came down and touched the previous descending resistance line from Feb 21st and confirmed it as strong support today. QQQ had already rete...
hey all. I'm going to provide a small write up because I've been drinking too many celebratory beers. (Industrial Arts - Wrench) TRADING SPY is essentially trading the market as a whole. But there are some interesting things to note: 1.) During volatile periods (when 20-day volatility exceeds 20%), traditional fundamental indicators significantly underperform sentiment-based signals. The data shows market psychology dominates during volatility, not underlying fundamentals. Guiding your decisio...
The Warlock
OP103221239
:
okay I'm dictating this so if there is a weird misspellings I'm sorry but to calculate a 20-day volatility is a bit of a process however you can use software or just kind of write your own scripts the idea is to collect the daily price data calculate those daily returns the percentages change from the previous day you compute the standard deviation of those returns and then you use a 20-day rolling window annualize it by multiplying the square root of 252 that's the number of trading days in the year convert percentage so for instance spies volatility despite dramatically in April one from 20% to well over 50% in a short period globality is something like 10 to 15% medium volatility is 15 to 25% and high volatility is over 25%. when spy is at a 50 4% plus volatility this is when you rely on market sentiment
SKYWalkers
:
I take your advice not to take your advice, that's the best advice! I have been saying for years, don't listen to anyone's advice, not economists, not analysts, listen only to your own, it doesn't mean you are stubborn, no, it means, you need to understand what those people are saying, do your research, form your thesis, test them out, question yourself if it's wrong, retest, reform your thesis, and when it works, stick with it, but be prepared to tweak it when time changes (many stuff already don't work since 2012), nothing remains correct all the time, but only listen to your own conviction. if you don't have conviction in what you are doing, don't invest, you are throwing money away, better to put your money in bank time deposit.
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This section presents the top 5 stocks in U.S. Crypto Concept Stocks, ranked from highest to lowest based on real-time market data.
Tonyco : rates stagnant.
recession will hit full on mid summer, once the full effects of this garbage are apparent to the short-sighted.
inflation increase dramatically, layoffs, loan defaults will cause death spiral for consumers, while interest rates will remain unchanged, ineffective Republican government will lead to shutdown and possibly default and credit downgrade
Beginnings of depression by year end.
Next year, bank failures will accelerate as dollar loses value, deregulation lead to risky loans increasing defaults, and mortgages and other big loans default
meanwhile, businesses continue to go insolvent, inflation stays high with unemployment, prolonging the misery.
end of next year US senate and congress will swap majorities (assuming orange mussolini doesn't attempt martial law takeover before then), beginning of 2027 may see some hope of recovery. We'll see.
J L 7 2 : Today's fraudulent society is very skilled at using false information to make money; waiting for Stocks to rise or fall legitimately is too slow.
ah bee trades OP Tonyco : i am puzzled at the lack of concern over negative gdp also... is the market pricing in some good news?
ah bee trades OP J L 7 2 : back to my favorite quote, markets can be irrational longer than you can be solvent...