$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$yall, we need to absolutely be paying attention to american politics right now. all im going to say is, ill be trading both sides of the market, but im completely bearish for the next like 6months.
so Korean news caught CCP secretly sent 3 trade delegates to White House, while CCP says they are not bowing, if you understand CCP, the stronger they push out propaganda, means the more desperate that they are, they are unable to play it cool under financial pressures. and Trump said CCP talked and Xi called him, and Trump also say he won't drop the tariff unless CCP gives something, like "free up China", what that means is allow Facebook, Twitter, YouTube into China to ...
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$$Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$With what I'm seeing, ~565-570 on SPY and ~485-490 on QQQ look like the next supply zones. Until proven otherwise, the symmetrical triangles I shared over the past few weeks are in play, which would explain the seemingly irrational bullishness. IF they are, SPY and QQQ are only about halfway to target. SPY came down and touched the previous descending resistance line from Feb 21st and confirmed it as strong support today. QQQ had already rete...
hey all. I'm going to provide a small write up because I've been drinking too many celebratory beers. (Industrial Arts - Wrench) TRADING SPY is essentially trading the market as a whole. But there are some interesting things to note: 1.) During volatile periods (when 20-day volatility exceeds 20%), traditional fundamental indicators significantly underperform sentiment-based signals. The data shows market psychology dominates during volatility, not underlying fundamentals. Guiding your decisio...
The Warlock
OP103221239
:
okay I'm dictating this so if there is a weird misspellings I'm sorry but to calculate a 20-day volatility is a bit of a process however you can use software or just kind of write your own scripts the idea is to collect the daily price data calculate those daily returns the percentages change from the previous day you compute the standard deviation of those returns and then you use a 20-day rolling window annualize it by multiplying the square root of 252 that's the number of trading days in the year convert percentage so for instance spies volatility despite dramatically in April one from 20% to well over 50% in a short period globality is something like 10 to 15% medium volatility is 15 to 25% and high volatility is over 25%. when spy is at a 50 4% plus volatility this is when you rely on market sentiment
SKYWalkers
:
I take your advice not to take your advice, that's the best advice! I have been saying for years, don't listen to anyone's advice, not economists, not analysts, listen only to your own, it doesn't mean you are stubborn, no, it means, you need to understand what those people are saying, do your research, form your thesis, test them out, question yourself if it's wrong, retest, reform your thesis, and when it works, stick with it, but be prepared to tweak it when time changes (many stuff already don't work since 2012), nothing remains correct all the time, but only listen to your own conviction. if you don't have conviction in what you are doing, don't invest, you are throwing money away, better to put your money in bank time deposit.
Boyd Invests
:
I don't wish anyone else bad, but I could really benefit more from a big drop than I could another pump. If we crash this week, then next week we can shoot to 600 and I'll be fine with that.
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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Stock Discussion
all im going to say is, ill be trading both sides of the market, but im completely bearish for the next like 6months.
and Trump said CCP talked and Xi called him, and Trump also say he won't drop the tariff unless CCP gives something, like "free up China", what that means is allow Facebook, Twitter, YouTube into China to ...
Until proven otherwise, the symmetrical triangles I shared over the past few weeks are in play, which would explain the seemingly irrational bullishness. IF they are, SPY and QQQ are only about halfway to target.
SPY came down and touched the previous descending resistance line from Feb 21st and confirmed it as strong support today. QQQ had already rete...
TRADING SPY is essentially trading the market as a whole. But there are some interesting things to note:
1.) During volatile periods (when 20-day volatility exceeds 20%), traditional fundamental indicators significantly underperform sentiment-based signals.
The data shows market psychology dominates during volatility, not underlying fundamentals.
Guiding your decisio...
If we crash that Put is gonna print!
The best month of my life. My baby daughter was born on April 4th. And I had a solid run due to this volatile market.
See y'all in May. Let's run it again.
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