TMF250516C63000
- 0.01
- -0.05-83.33%
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF Newsroom
Schroder Investment: Short-term severe sell-off of U.S. bonds, medium and long-term layout opportunities emerge.
Wu Meiyan, the Director of Fixed Income Investments at Schroders, stated that the sharp sell-off in the short-term US Treasury market, while reflecting market sentiment, often contains opportunities for long-term investors.
The brief "springtime" for the dollar cannot withstand the long "bearish path"! Hedge funds warn that tariff policies will trigger a wave of dollar selling.
The founder of Exante Data believes that the recent rebound of the dollar is just a fleeting moment, and the long-lasting "dollar bear market" has only just begun, mainly due to a series of chaotic tariff policies aimed at Global trade introduced by the Trump administration to reshape the USA economy and trade.
What is the market saying? While the Nasdaq is soaring, U.S. Treasury yields are approaching their highs, and the dollar is falling.
The analysis suggests that the rebound in the US stock market may only be a superficial celebration. The abnormal rise in US bond yields and the divergence from the dollar's trend point to structural fiscal issues in the USA, or imply a deeper risk of dollar collapse. With the USA government expected to issue over 2 trillion dollars in national debt, the lack of buyers may force the Federal Reserve to resume expanding its balance sheet.
Peter Schiff Says Trade Truce Aside, The World Is 'Losing Confidence' In Dollar And In US Ability To Put 'Fiscal House In Order'
Treasury Yields Rise as Markets Absorb Inflation Data -- Market Talk
US Bonds Rise as Soft Inflation Backs Bets on Two 2025 Fed Rate Cuts
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for May 13
Redbook US Same-Store Sales Slow in Week Ended May 10
Stocks Down Pre-Bell as Traders Await Key Inflation Report
Monthly survey by Bank of America: 'Going long on Gold' remains the most crowded Trade, while dollar allocation has fallen to its lowest since 2006.
A survey by Bank of America shows that investors' allocation to the dollar has dropped to a nineteen-year low, with 57% of investors believing the dollar is overvalued. At the same time, 'going long on Gold' has become the most crowded trade in the market for the second consecutive month, with Gold considered the highest valued Asset in seventeen years. 62% of investors think that tariffs causing a Global recession is the biggest tail risk.
Optimism about trade is rising, Goldman Sachs has lowered the USA recession expectations and raised the S&P 500 Target Price.
Goldman Sachs expects an improvement in the USA economic outlook, reducing the probability of a recession from 45% to 35%, and has significantly raised the profit forecasts and ROI prospects for the S&P 500 Index, projecting a 12-month ROI of 11% and a target level of 6,500 points, with a particularly bullish view on stocks with strong pricing power and AI stocks.
Markets Might Face Challenges Interpreting U.S. CPI Data -- Market Talk
Asian Stocks Rally As US-China Trade War Eases, US Dollar Holds Gains
The China-US tariffs have "broken the ice"; Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve's first rate cut to be delayed until December.
Goldman Sachs currently expects the Federal Reserve to make its first rate cut in December, and it has adjusted the peak of the core PCE inflation path to 3.6%.
Stocks Cheered Tariff Relief. Economic Growth Still Hangs in the Balance. -- Barrons.com
Federal Reserve Watch for May 12: Tariffs Effects Could Be 'Significant,' Kugler Says
US Treasury April Budget Slightly Larger Than Expected, Wider Than Year Ago
Treasury Yields Rise as U.S.-China Deal Stokes Risk Appetite -- Market Talk
Tariff deal boosts U.S. Treasury yields, dollar - Market rumor mill
Short-End U.S. Treasurys Lead Rise in Yields -- Market Talk