Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund Stock Discussion

May 7, 2025
🧭 1️⃣ GLOBAL CONTEXT, TRENDS & MARKET STRUCTURE
🌐 1.1 Macro, Sectors & Fundamentals
Major indices:
S&P 500: Signs of short-term exhaustion with selling pressure near the 5,600 level.
Dow Jones: Technical underperformance, lagging behind tech.
Nasdaq: Still leading, supported by strong momentum and volume.
Bitcoin & Ethereum: Strengthening positioning; BTC confirmed breakout, ETH showing divergence risk.
Volatility:
VIX: Rising again toward 25, indicating renewe...

Key Takeaways:
1. Market Shift: Tech stocks falling, energy potentially undervalued.
2. Policy Pressure: Fed hawkishness and tariffs reshaping investments.
3. Sector Opportunities: Energy and industrials promising; tech facing challenges.
4. Strategy: Rotate to fundamentals-driven sectors, be selective in tech.
As the S&P 500 teeters near correction territory and oil prices slump to $70/bbl, investors scramble to ...

When top-performing funds go on a buying spree, savvy investors pay attention. These stock moves aren’t just numbers on a spreadsheet, they’re signals of confidence in specific sectors that could dictate the market’s next big winners. For ETF strategists and investors alike, tracking these shifts can reveal emerging opportunities. But not every stock that funds scoop up is destined for long-term success. A disciplined, strategic approach i...

Industrials extending some strength at the end of 2023 and at all-time highs. The Richmond Fed's regional report dropped to a 7-month low in Dec, but these readings are volatile.
Some interesting things to consider:
- New orders, shipments, and backlogs were all declining at a moderate pace.
- Inflation readings ticked higher, prices paid to 4.2% and prices received to 2.8%
I am not put off by these numbers unless they gather into a larger trend. XLI can grind higher in 2024.
It is worth noting ...

The U.S. manufacturing sector showed some improvement, but still under the 50 threshold. The ISM’s manufacturing PMI reading for September rose to 49.0, its highest since November 2022. However, this is the 11th consecutive month that the PMI is below 50, indicating a contraction in manufacturing.
Despite this, growth projections for Q3 are estimated to be as high as a 4.9% annualized rate. Additionally, various manufacturing industries reported growth ...