Federal Reserve's Barr warns: tariffs raise inflation and slow down the economy, the Federal Reserve may find itself in a dilemma.
1. Federal Reserve Board member Michael Barr warned that the trade policies of the Trump administration could raise inflation, slow economic growth, and increase unemployment, posing challenges for policymakers; 2. Barr believes that tariffs may disrupt global supply chains, creating sustained upward pressure on inflation and potentially exacerbating supply chain chaos.
The "dollar hegemony" shows cracks in Asia: "de-dollarization" is accelerating and the renminbi is being embraced!
① With last month's unpredictable tariff policies by Trump triggering a wave of asset sell-offs in the USA, a fresh wave of "de-dollarization" is taking root in Asia... ② Multiple signs indicate that the demand for currency derivatives that bypass the dollar is rising among banks and brokers in the Asia region, as trade tensions have added urgency to the shift towards de-dollarization that has been happening for many years.
China's Exports Jump 8% in April Despite Tariff Tensions
Trump Says China Wants to Make a Trade Deal, Is Open to Lowering Tariffs If Talks Go Well
Asia Markets Rise on Global Trade Optimism; U.S. Futures Jump as Trump Hints at Major Trade Deal
Trump wants to amend AI Chip export controls? The U.S. Department of Commerce: Simplifying the 'Biden rules' is beneficial for innovation!
① A spokesperson for the USA Department of Commerce stated that President Trump plans to lift the restrictions on the export of advanced AI Chips instituted during the Biden administration, claiming that Biden's rules are overly complex and will hinder innovation in the USA; ② In January of this year, Biden released the "AI Diffusion Export Control Framework," establishing a "three-tier licensing system" for AI Chips, which limits the amount of advanced AI Chips accessible to various countries and regions.
The largest stock buyback frenzy in history has arrived! In the midst of uncertainty, companies choose to "buy the dip" on themselves.
According to Deutsche Bank, S&P 500 Index constituent companies are expected to buy back $192 billion worth of Stocks in the coming months, the highest single-week record since 1995. Under the shadow of uncertainties such as trade tariffs, companies prefer to deploy large Cash reserves through buybacks.
FOMC Preview: When Will Powell Turn Dovish Amid Tariff Tensions?
Asia Markets Mostly Rise on US-China Trade Talk Optimism; India Dips Amid India-Pak Tensions
Despite the tariff disputes, should one still stick to U.S. stocks? Morgan Stanley provides five major investment recommendations.
① Should one choose Large Cap stocks or Small Cap stocks? Should one choose industrial stocks or Consumer stocks? Should one still remain committed to U.S. stocks? ② Morgan Stanley U.S. stock strategist Wilson offers five investment recommendations to investors to address Global trade risks.
After Buffett "hands over the baton", Berkshire has made substantial bottom-fishing purchases, while retail investors gamble on the enduring faith in the "stock god".
On Monday, retail investors invested more than 24 million dollars in Berkshire Hathaway Class B Stocks.
China Lowers Rates and Makes Bank Lending Easier in Response to Tariffs
Goldman Sachs outlook for the May Federal Reserve meeting: the threshold for interest rate cuts is higher than in 2019, and it is necessary to wait for employment and other hard data to weaken.
Analysts including Jan Hatzius from Goldman Sachs have stated that inflation and inflation expectations based on surveys are currently much higher, and decision-makers need to see more compelling evidence of an economic slowdown before taking action. The strongest argument for interest rate cuts would be if Federal Reserve officials believe that data indicates the unemployment rate may continue to rise, which means that other signs such as rising unemployment, weak wage growth, and companies becoming cautious or weak demand growth need to be observed.
China Central Bank Cuts Rates to Boost Economy Amid Tariff Threat
Express News | China's Official: Will Lower Interest Rates on Structural Policy Tools by 25 Bps; Guide Commercial Banks to Lower Deposit Rates; To Help A-Share Listed Companies Affected by Tariffs to Cope With Difficulties
Express News | In Overnight Trading, U.S.-Listed Chinese Stocks and ETFs Surge After China's Official Announces Series of Policies; DUO Surges 17%, BEKE Rises 4%; Alibaba, JD and Bilibili Rise 2%, YINN Up 4%, CWEB Rises 3%
U.S. Treasury Secretary and USTR to Meet With Chinese Counterparts Amid Possible Break in Trade War
JPMorgan traders "draw the line": U.S. stocks first break 6000, then hit a new low!
JPMorgan expects that, driven by factors such as the activation of CTA strategy and accelerated Share Buybacks, the S&P 500 Index will first challenge the 6000-point mark. However, afterwards, if investors hold a pessimistic view on the mid-term outlook under high tariffs, the market may retest low levels. JPMorgan agrees with the current widespread view of an economic recession and anticipates a significant decline in hard data such as non-farm employment and retail sales in the next 1-2 months.
China Service Growth Hits 7-month Low as Trade Disruptions Weighs on New Business Orders
Asia Stocks Gain on China's Potential U.S. Trade Talks, U.S. Futures Edge Lower to Start the Week